Warren is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Warren typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warren, ~12% vote Democratic, ~68% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warren compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warren leans more Republican than 30 of 43 neighbors.
Warren runs about 52 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Warren leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warren, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Warren live in densely developed areas, about 17 points below the Missouri average of 22%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Warren fits that profile on both counts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Warren are family households, above 87% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Warren, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Warren looks the way it does
Turnout in Warren sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Emden, MO R+69
- Philadelphia, MO R+73
- Monroe City, MO R+50
- Hunnewell, MO R+67
- Hassard, MO R+64
- Woodland, MO R+66
- West Ely, MO R+61
- Indian Creek, MO R+63
- Palmyra, MO R+53
- Rensselaer, MO R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ligurta, AZ R+42
- Patton, IL R+65
- Pollard, AL R+85
- McCauley, WV R+66
- Silver City, KY R+64
- McCord Bend, MO R+57
- Horse Thief, AZ R+56
- Braxton, KY R+59
- Dacoma, OK R+76
- Carthage, SD R+57
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.