Warren is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Warren typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warren, ~35% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warren compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warren sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 4 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 109 leaning the other way.
Warren runs about 11 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warren. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+29) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+17), a spread of about 45 points.
Why Warren leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Warren. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Warren, OH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Warren looks the way it does
Turnout in Warren sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Leavittsburg, OH R+10
- Niles, OH R+14
- Cortland, OH R+27
- Lordstown, OH R+38
- Vienna, OH R+38
- McDonald, OH R+17
- Mineral Ridge, OH R+24
- Southington, OH R+48
- Morgandale, OH R+46
- Girard, OH R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Covina, CA D+14
- Haverhill, MA D+11
- Yorba Linda, CA R+15
- Hilliard, OH D+11
- Weatherford, TX R+59
- Dubuque, IA Even
- Eagan, MN D+23
- Portland, ME D+62
- Riverdale, GA D+77
- Bethesda, MD D+65
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.