Wheeler leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Wheeler typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wheeler, ~15% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wheeler compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wheeler leans more Republican than 5 of 14 neighbors.
Wheeler runs about 67 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Wheeler is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Wheeler. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+38), a spread of about 34 points.
Why Wheeler leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wheeler, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Wheeler votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Wheeler runs about 67 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 89% of households in Wheeler are family households, in the top fraction of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Wheeler, WA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Wheeler looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 34% of households in Wheeler rent, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Moses Lake, WA R+31
- Moses Lake North, WA R+67
- McDonald, WA R+60
- Ruff, WA R+61
- Warden, WA R+38
- Marlin, WA R+71
- Wilson Creek, WA R+71
- Stratford, WA R+61
- Ephrata, WA R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- West Liberty, IL R+70
- Maxim, GA R+64
- Ocotillo, CA R+43
- West Line, MO R+56
- Boughton, AR R+36
- Frakes, KY R+82
- Margarettsville, NC Even
- Petronia, AL D+79
- Freeport, IA R+12
- Fish Haven, ID R+71
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.