Wilmar leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Wilmar typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wilmar, ~16% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wilmar compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wilmar leans more Republican than 45 of 57 neighbors.
Wilmar runs about 42 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Wilmar. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 37 points.
Why Wilmar leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wilmar, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Wilmar live in densely developed areas, about 22 points below the North Carolina average of 27%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Wilmar sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 83% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Wilmar, NC sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Wilmar looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Wilmar is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 20% of adults in Wilmar report food insecurity, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Clayroot, NC R+30
- Stokestown, NC R+39
- Vanceboro, NC R+33
- Chocowinity, NC R+35
- Maplecypress, NC R+33
- Blounts Creek, NC R+34
- Grimesland, NC R+26
- Washington Park, NC R+30
- McConnell, NC R+28
- Washington, NC R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clarksville, MO R+54
- Hampton, NE R+68
- Zieglerville, PA R+16
- Copake Falls, NY D+15
- Lake Spring, MO R+74
- Pointe a la Hache, LA D+71
- Whittemore, IA R+54
- Lewis, NY R+9
- St. Stephens, AL R+56
- Lyons, WI R+34
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.