Yale leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Yale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Yale, ~22% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Yale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Yale leans more Republican than 25 of 53 neighbors.
Yale runs about 44 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Yale. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+54) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+41), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Yale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Yale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Yale votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 38%, modestly above the Michigan average of 31%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Yale sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 85% of cities).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Yale, MI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Yale looks the way it does
Turnout in Yale sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Roseburg, MI R+54
- Valley Center, MI R+55
- Melvin, MI R+55
- Fargo, MI R+54
- Emmett, MI R+51
- Avoca, MI R+52
- Riley Center, MI R+50
- Capac, MI R+43
- Peck, MI R+53
- Ruby, MI R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dennis Port, MA D+17
- Granite Falls, MN R+38
- Willard, NC R+38
- Branford, FL R+73
- San Andreas, CA R+26
- Lone Oak, TX R+73
- Milan, NM R+12
- Moriches, NY R+10
- Wedgefield, SC D+14
- Collinsville, TX R+66
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.