Yale leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Yale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Yale, ~21% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Yale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Yale leans more Republican than 25 of 27 neighbors.
Yale runs about 63 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Yale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Yale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Yale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Yale votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Yale runs about 63 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Yale sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 89% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Yale, WA sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Yale looks the way it does
Turnout in Yale sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ariel, WA R+41
- Chelatchie, WA R+45
- Amboy, WA R+43
- Cougar, WA R+36
- Yacolt, WA R+45
- Paradise, WA R+37
- La Center, WA R+31
- Venersborg, WA R+29
- Battle Ground, WA R+21
- Woodland, WA R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- DeBeque, CO R+54
- Harris, MI R+25
- Fallsburg, KY R+68
- Robinson Creek, KY R+70
- Ransom, OH R+60
- Hattieville, AR R+62
- Shirley, MO R+67
- Bethel, WI R+43
- Telephone, TX R+78
- Goblesville, IN R+54
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.