10518 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 93% of adults in 10518 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10518, ~52% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10518 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10518 leans more Democratic than 23 of 33 neighbors.
Politically, 10518 sits close to the rest of New York.
Why 10518 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10518, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 85% of adults in 10518 hold a bachelor's degree, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 10518, NY does.
Why turnout in 10518 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 10518 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in 10518 own their home, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in 10518 have completed high school, above 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.