04539 leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 88% of adults in 04539 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 04539, ~52% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 04539 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 04539 leans more Democratic than 14 of 27 neighbors.
04539 runs about 12 points more Democratic than Maine as a whole.
Why 04539 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 04539, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 55% of adults in 04539 hold a bachelor's degree, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; 04539, ME sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in 04539 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 04539 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in 04539 own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 04539 have completed high school, above 81% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.