11249 leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 57% of adults in 11249 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11249, ~34% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11249 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11249 leans more Democratic than 69 of 206 neighbors.
11249 runs about 8 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11249. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+72) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+79), a spread of about 150 points.
Why 11249 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11249, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 11249 live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 11249 sits in the top quarter (about 52%, above 90% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in 11249 have never been married, above 93% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 11249, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 11249 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 82% of households in 11249 rent, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in 11249 report food insecurity, above 84% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.