10012 is a Democratic stronghold. About 85% of voters here vote Democratic and 15% Republican.
About 54% of adults in 10012 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10012, ~46% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10012 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10012 leans more Democratic than 162 of 191 neighbors.
10012 runs about 57 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10012. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+74) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+60), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 10012 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10012, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 10012 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 10012 sits in the top quarter (about 86%, in the top fraction of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 59% of adults in 10012 have never been married, above 98% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 10012, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 10012 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 76% of households in 10012 rent, about 51 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in 10012 have more than one occupant per room, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.