11580 leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 64% of adults in 11580 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11580, ~42% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11580 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11580 leans more Democratic than 105 of 176 neighbors.
11580 runs about 17 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11580. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+44) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+8), a spread of about 37 points.
Why 11580 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11580, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 11580 live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 11580 sits in the top quarter (about 40%, above 81% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 38% of adults in 11580 have never been married, above 84% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 11580, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 11580 looks the way it does
Turnout in 11580 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.