11557 leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 11557 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11557, ~30% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11557 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11557 leans more Republican than 127 of 145 neighbors.
11557 runs about 34 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11557 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11557. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 35 points.
Why 11557 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11557, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11557 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 96%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 88% of households in 11557 are family households, in the top fraction of zip codes. 11557 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 11557, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 11557 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 11557 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 11557 own their home, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.