11730 leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 11730 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11730, ~28% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11730 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11730 leans more Republican than 51 of 55 neighbors.
11730 runs about 42 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11730 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11730. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+34) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 11 points.
Why 11730 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11730, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11730 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 90%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. 11730 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 11730, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 11730 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 11730 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.