34610 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 73% of adults in 34610 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34610, ~19% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34610 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34610 is the most Republican-leaning.
34610 runs about 36 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34610. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+58) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 26 points.
Why 34610 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34610, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in 34610 are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 34610, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 34610 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 89% of households in 34610 own their home, about 18 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 34610 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.