11742 leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 11742 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11742, ~26% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11742 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11742 leans more Republican than 51 of 55 neighbors.
11742 runs about 40 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11742 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 11742 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11742, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11742 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 99%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in 11742 are family households, above 87% of zip codes. 11742 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 11742, NY sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 11742 looks the way it does
Turnout in 11742 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.