12203 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.
About 55% of adults in 12203 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12203, ~40% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12203 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12203 leans more Democratic than 46 of 54 neighbors.
12203 runs about 33 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12203. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+60) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+27), a spread of about 33 points.
Why 12203 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12203, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 56% of adults in 12203 hold a bachelor's degree, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 12203 sits in the top fifth on density (about 89%, above 87% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 53% of adults in 12203 have never been married, above 96% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 12203, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 12203 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 50% of households in 12203 rent, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and 12203 sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.