12084 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 12084 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12084, ~40% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12084 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12084 leans more Democratic than 36 of 50 neighbors.
12084 runs about 18 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12084. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+33) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+17), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 12084 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12084, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 60% of adults in 12084 hold a bachelor's degree, about 32 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in 12084 is about 58%, below 78% of zip codes. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in 12084 have never been married, above 78% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 12084, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 12084 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 66% of households in 12084 rent, about 41 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and 12084 sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.