12468 leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 75% of adults in 12468 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12468, ~29% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12468 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12468 leans more Republican than 19 of 27 neighbors.
12468 runs about 34 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12468 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12468. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 39 points.
Why 12468 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12468, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in 12468 live in densely developed areas, about 30 points below the New York average of 36%. 12468 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 12468, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 12468 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12468 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 57% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.