12492 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 73% of adults in 12492 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12492, ~39% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12492 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12492 leans more Democratic than 19 of 30 neighbors.
12492 runs about 5 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Why 12492 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12492, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 48% of adults in 12492 hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 12492, NY does.
Why turnout in 12492 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12492 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in 12492 own their home, compared to around 75% in nearby zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 12492 have completed high school, above 89% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.