12485 leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 70% of adults in 12485 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12485, ~30% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12485 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12485 leans more Republican than 26 of 42 neighbors.
12485 runs about 26 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12485 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 12485 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12485, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in 12485 live in densely developed areas, about 31 points below the New York average of 36%. 12485 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 12485, NY does.
Why turnout in 12485 looks the way it does
Turnout in 12485 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.