12463 leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 12463 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12463, ~32% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12463 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12463 leans more Republican than 28 of 39 neighbors.
12463 runs about 30 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12463 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12463. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+23) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 12463 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12463, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
12463 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12463 runs about 30 points more Republican.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; 12463, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 12463 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. More than 99% of adults in 12463 have completed high school, about 9 points above the New York average of 91%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.