12801 leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 64% of adults in 12801 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12801, ~38% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12801 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12801 is the most Democratic-leaning.
12801 runs about 5 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12801. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+42) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 37 points.
Why 12801 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12801, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 95% of residents in 12801 live in densely developed areas, about 58 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in 12801 have never been married, above 88% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 12801, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 12801 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12801 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 61%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.