13054 leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 89% of adults in 13054 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 13054, ~27% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 13054 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 13054 leans more Republican than 16 of 22 neighbors.
13054 runs about 52 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 13054 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 13054 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 13054, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 92% of residents in 13054 drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 74% of households in 13054 are family households, above 78% of zip codes. 13054 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 13054, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 13054 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 13054 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in 13054 own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.