13123 leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 85% of adults in 13123 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 13123, ~31% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 13123 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 13123 leans more Republican than 7 of 20 neighbors.
13123 runs about 41 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 13123 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 13123 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 13123, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
13123 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 13123 runs about 41 points more Republican.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 13123, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 13123 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in 13123 own their home, about 16 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.