14884 is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 67% of adults in 14884 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14884, ~15% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14884 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14884 is the most Republican-leaning.
14884 runs about 69 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 14884 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 14884 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14884, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 14884, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the New York average of 34%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 14884 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 6%, below 78% of zip codes). 14884 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 14884, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 14884 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 14884 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 61% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.