14804 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 14804 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14804, ~23% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14804 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14804 leans more Republican than 3 of 12 neighbors.
14804 runs about 44 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 14804 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 14804. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 38 points.
Why 14804 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14804, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
14804 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 14804 runs about 44 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 74% of households in 14804 are family households, above 76% of zip codes.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 14804, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 14804 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 14804 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 89% of households in 14804 own their home, above 85% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.