15486 leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 73% of adults in 15486 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 15486, ~18% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 15486 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 15486 leans more Republican than 61 of 70 neighbors.
15486 runs about 48 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why 15486 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 15486, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 84% of residents in 15486 drive to work alone, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 15486 fits that profile on both counts.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 15486, PA sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 15486 looks the way it does
Turnout in 15486 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.