19954 leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 80% of adults in 19954 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 19954, ~26% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 19954 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 19954 leans more Republican than 11 of 13 neighbors.
19954 runs about 50 points more Republican than Delaware as a whole. Delaware leans Democratic overall, while 19954 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 19954 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 19954, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
19954 votes against the grain of Delaware. Delaware leans Democratic overall, while 19954 runs about 50 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 19954 sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 81% of zip codes). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in 19954 are family households, above 80% of zip codes.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 19954, DE sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 19954 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 88% of households in 19954 own their home, about 10 points above the Delaware average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Delaware Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.