20141 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 90% of adults in 20141 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 20141, ~41% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 20141 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 20141 leans more Republican than 9 of 20 neighbors.
20141 runs about 13 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 20141 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 20141. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+15), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 20141 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 20141, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 85% of households in 20141 are family households, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 67%. 20141 runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; 20141, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in 20141 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 20141 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in 20141 own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 20141 have completed high school, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.