21010 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 91% of adults in 21010 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 21010, ~45% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 21010 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 21010 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 16 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 17 leaning the other way.
21010 runs about 31 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while 21010 sits closer to the political middle.
Why 21010 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 21010, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
21010 votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while 21010 runs about 31 points more Republican.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as 21010, MD does.
Why turnout in 21010 looks the way it does
Turnout in 21010 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.