22472 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 48% of adults in 22472 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22472, ~16% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22472 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22472 leans more Republican than 11 of 13 neighbors.
22472 runs about 38 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 22472 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 22472 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22472, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in 22472 hold a bachelor's degree, about 19 points below the Virginia average of 29%. 22472 runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 22472, VA sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 22472 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 22472 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in 22472 have completed high school, below 94% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.