22469 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 70% of adults in 22469 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22469, ~38% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22469 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22469 leans more Democratic than 18 of 19 neighbors.
Politically, 22469 sits close to the rest of Virginia.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 22469. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+37) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 54 points.
Why 22469 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22469, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 39% of adults in 22469 have never been married, well above similar-sized zip codes (around 20%).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 22469, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 22469 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 22469 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 59%, below 62% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.