22824 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 22824 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22824, ~20% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22824 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22824 leans more Republican than 6 of 12 neighbors.
22824 runs about 54 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 22824 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 22824. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+41), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 22824 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22824, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
22824 votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 22824 runs about 54 points more Republican.
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a low frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; 22824, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in 22824 looks the way it does
Turnout in 22824 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.