22650 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 22650 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22650, ~21% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22650 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22650 leans more Republican than 9 of 12 neighbors.
22650 runs about 54 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 22650 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 22650 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22650, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
22650 votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 22650 runs about 54 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and 22650 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 6%, below 76% of zip codes). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in 22650 are family households, above 83% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 22650, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 22650 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in 22650 own their home, about 19 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.