23510 is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 23510 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23510, ~49% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23510 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23510 leans more Democratic than 42 of 48 neighbors.
23510 runs about 54 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23510. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+84) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+47), a spread of about 37 points.
Why 23510 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23510, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 92% of residents in 23510 live in densely developed areas, about 55 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 23510 sits in the top quarter (about 48%, above 87% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 57% of adults in 23510 have never been married, above 97% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 23510, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 23510 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 81% of households in 23510 rent, about 56 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in 23510 report food insecurity, above 83% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.