24016 is a Democratic stronghold. About 77% of voters here vote Democratic and 23% Republican.
About 53% of adults in 24016 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 24016, ~41% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 24016 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 24016 leans more Democratic than 19 of 20 neighbors.
24016 runs about 48 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 24016. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+76) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+43), a spread of about 34 points.
Why 24016 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 24016, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 24016 live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in 24016 have never been married, above 95% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 24016, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 24016 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 76% of households in 24016 rent, about 51 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 24016 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 24016 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.