24011 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 24011 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 24011, ~45% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 24011 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 24011 leans more Democratic than 18 of 20 neighbors.
24011 runs about 43 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why 24011 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 24011, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 24011 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 24011 sits in the top quarter (about 63%, above 95% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 57% of adults in 24011 have never been married, above 97% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 24011, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 24011 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 94% of households in 24011 rent, about 69 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 24011 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.