24540 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 71% of adults in 24540 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 24540, ~40% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 24540 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 24540 is the most Democratic-leaning.
24540 runs about 6 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 24540. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+64) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+31), a spread of about 95 points.
Why 24540 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 24540, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 24540 is about 49%, about 23 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in 24540 have never been married, above 78% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 24540, VA sits above the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 24540 looks the way it does
Turnout in 24540 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.