27409 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.
About 70% of adults in 27409 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 27409, ~47% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 27409 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 27409 leans more Democratic than 16 of 23 neighbors.
27409 runs about 37 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while 27409 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 27409. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+49) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 59 points.
Why 27409 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 27409, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 27409 is about 42%, about 30 points below the U.S. average of 72%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 27409 sits in the top quarter (about 39%, above 80% of zip codes). 27409 runs against the grain of North Carolina, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 27409, NC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 27409 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in 27409 have completed high school, about 7 points above the North Carolina average of 88%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.