32310 leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 62% of adults in 32310 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32310, ~40% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32310 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32310 leans more Democratic than 7 of 13 neighbors.
32310 runs about 41 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32310 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32310. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+87) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+58), a spread of about 144 points.
Why 32310 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32310, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
32310 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32310 runs about 41 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 51% of adults in 32310 have never been married, above 95% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 32310, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32310 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32310 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 10 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 53% of households in 32310 rent, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.