27812 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 27812 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 27812, ~43% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 27812 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 27812 leans more Democratic than 6 of 12 neighbors.
27812 runs about 12 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while 27812 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 27812. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+32) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+36), a spread of about 68 points.
Why 27812 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 27812, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
27812 votes against the grain of North Carolina. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while 27812 runs about 12 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 27812, NC sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 27812 looks the way it does
Turnout in 27812 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.