03814 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 86% of adults in 03814 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 03814, ~36% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 03814 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 03814 leans more Republican than 17 of 23 neighbors.
03814 runs about 19 points more Republican than New Hampshire as a whole. New Hampshire is roughly evenly split, and 03814 sits clearly on the Republican side.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 03814. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+28) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 03814 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 03814, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 77% of households in 03814 are family households, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 67%. 03814 runs against the grain of New Hampshire, a Republican-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 03814, NH sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 03814 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 03814 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.