28444 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 28444 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 28444, ~28% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 28444 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 28444 leans more Republican than 1 of 3 neighbors.
28444 runs about 5 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 28444. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+38) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+48), a spread of about 87 points.
Why 28444 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 28444, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in 28444 live in densely developed areas, about 21 points below the North Carolina average of 27%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 28444 sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 88% of zip codes).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 28444, NC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 28444 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 28444 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.