28434 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 82% of adults in 28434 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 28434, ~48% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 28434 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 28434 is the most Democratic-leaning.
28434 runs about 19 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while 28434 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 28434. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+60) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+6), a spread of about 54 points.
Why 28434 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 28434, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 42% of residents in 28434 are Black or African American, about 24 points above the North Carolina average of 18%. 28434 runs against the grain of North Carolina, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 28434, NC does.
Why turnout in 28434 looks the way it does
Turnout in 28434 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.