32157 leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 32157 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32157, ~18% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32157 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32157 leans more Republican than 6 of 10 neighbors.
32157 runs about 37 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32157. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+59) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+42), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 32157 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32157, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 6% of adults in 32157 hold a bachelor's degree, about 25 points below the Florida average of 31%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 32157, FL sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32157 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32157 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 13 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.