32934 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 32934 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32934, ~31% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32934 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32934 leans more Republican than 13 of 16 neighbors.
32934 runs about 12 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32934. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 24 points.
Why 32934 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32934, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
32934 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 76%, well above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 32934, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 32934 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 32934 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, about 6 points above the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.