32937 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 86% of adults in 32937 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32937, ~33% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32937 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32937 leans more Republican than 10 of 15 neighbors.
32937 runs about 11 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why 32937 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32937, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
32937 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 75%, well above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 32937, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 32937 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 32937 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 32937 have completed high school, above 95% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.