33498 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 33498 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33498, ~37% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33498 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33498 leans more Republican than 32 of 37 neighbors.
33498 runs about 6 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33498. The southwest side is the most split-leaning (R+16) and the northwest side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 33498 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33498, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33498 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 82%, well above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in 33498 are family households, above 98% of zip codes.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 33498, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33498 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 33498 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in 33498 own their home, compared to around 77% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.