33446 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 87% of adults in 33446 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33446, ~45% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33446 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33446 leans more Democratic than 20 of 38 neighbors.
33446 runs about 17 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33446 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33446. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+22) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 36 points.
Why 33446 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33446, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33446 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while 33446 runs about 17 points more Democratic.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 33446, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 33446 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 33446 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in 33446 own their home, above 86% of zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 33446 have completed high school, above 87% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.