33549 leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 33549 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33549, ~30% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33549 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33549 leans more Republican than 29 of 36 neighbors.
33549 runs about 4 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33549. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+28), a spread of about 35 points.
Why 33549 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33549, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33549 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 69%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 33549, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33549 looks the way it does
Turnout in 33549 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.